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<dc:title xml:lang="en">Assessing the vulnerability of Brazilian primate species to yellow fever in the context of global change</dc:title>
<dcterms:alternative xml:lang="fr">Mesurer la vulnérabilité des espèces de primates brésiliens à la fièvre jaune dans le contexte des changements globaux</dcterms:alternative>
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<dc:subject xml:lang="fr">Primates néotropicaux</dc:subject>
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<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Neotropical primates</dc:subject>
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<dcterms:abstract xml:lang="fr">La fièvre jaune réémerge au Brésil depuis l’an 2000, accentuée par la fragmentation des forêts et le changement climatique. Elle cause de lourdes pertes chez les primates non humains. Cette thèse évalue donc leur vulnérabilité à la fièvre jaune dans le contexte des changements globaux, combinant climat et occupation des sols. Un modèle de distribution d’espèces projette les distributions futures de primates et moustiques vecteurs, identifiant les zones de risque épidémique. Les résultats révèlent des pertes d’habitat pour les primates dans le Cerrado, la Caatinga et la Pampa, le déclin des moustiques sylvatiques mais l’essor des espèces urbaines, et la persistance du risque en Amazonie et forêt atlantique. Localement, la connectivité forestière et la proximité humaine ont amplifié la mortalité du tamarin-lion doré, une espèce déjà menacée. Cette approche intégrée offre un cadre prédictif pour la conservation et la santé publique selon une perspective One Health.</dcterms:abstract>
<dcterms:abstract xml:lang="en">Yellow fever has been reemerging in Brazil since 2000, exacerbated by forest fragmentation and climate change. It has caused heavy losses among non-human primates. This thesis therefore evaluates their vulnerability to yellow fever in the context of global changes, considering both climate and land-use factors. A species distribution model projects the future distributions of primates and mosquito vectors, identifying areas of epidemic risk. The results reveal habitat losses for primates in the Cerrado, Caatinga, and Pampa, a decline of sylvatic mosquitoes but an expansion of urban species, and the persistence of risk in the Amazon and Atlantic forests. Locally, forest connectivity and human proximity have amplified mortality of the golden lion tamarin, an already endangered species. This integrated approach provides a predictive framework for conservation and public health within a One Health perspective.</dcterms:abstract>
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